If the current polls hold, Trump is toast in November. Big if, especially for an incumbent win a fast-shifting environment. But Biden unquestionably enters the general election as the favorite.pic.twitter.com/u0qIGOizdF
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Lol there’s more ways to measure an economy than just GDP
Depends on what happens with the virus. It's April. November feels like years away
He really did seem determined to test economic models of elections. We'd have to add a 14th "key to the White House," and find a family-friendly term for it.
What is the MOE?
If 2% GDP growth is a "roaring economy", what's an average economy?
If 1% real wage growth is a "roaring economy", what's an average economy?pic.twitter.com/zocG3L6F1R
Trump tried to bring back factory jobs and ended up causing a manufacturing recession in 2019... https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/01/17/us-manufacturing-was-mild-recession-during-2019-sore-spot-economy/ …
I think people put too much stock in the RCP average. Until you get a significant number of LV polls, it’s all academic.
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