If the current polls hold, Trump is toast in November. Big if, especially for an incumbent win a fast-shifting environment. But Biden unquestionably enters the general election as the favorite.pic.twitter.com/u0qIGOizdF
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The polls were always going to show Trump as the underdog. Don’t know why the guys grinding them out are going with absurd turnout models...maybe some focus group somewhere said that Dem voters have to hear their guy is in good shape? It’s weird. Trump wins: rather easily.
Didn’t Hillary have a double digit lead over Trump around this time?
Or, Trump will simply use everything in his bag of dirty tricks, lies, and corruption to remain in power. So yeah, Republicans, "prepare".
Polls now are meaningless. Unless they allow Joe Biden to have the questions ahead of time or have an ear piece in his ear, debates are going to be brutal for Joe Biden. Presidents need to be able to string together coherent thoughts and sentences. The ads will write themselves.
You all @NumbersMuncher seem to forget to include how much we are going to see Biden upfront and the full force of GOP against him. You actually think Biden will improve the more the public sees/hears from him?
biden is senile, so that's going to be a thing. that said, i'm not a all certain people will even care.
Since all the traditional issues, even Trump's personality is getting drowned out by this the key factor on whether Trump wins is if the virus explodes in the fall. If it seems Trump is hapless if it rises up then he is doomed. If it seems under control coin toss.
Depends if voters mind voting for a guy with dementia or not.
I think a lot of people voting for Biden in November will be voting with the expectation that Obama's policy team will be the ones really running things, and Biden will resign partway through his term and whomever his VP is will take over.
Biden's cognitive difficulties won't be the issue so many think it will be, because they'll already be baked into the cake for voters who just want to get rid of Trump. Trump occupies almost the same position in 2020 as Hillary did in 2016: a lot of people Just Don't Like Him.
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