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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 8 Apr 2020

      If the current polls hold, Trump is toast in November. Big if, especially for an incumbent win a fast-shifting environment. But Biden unquestionably enters the general election as the favorite.pic.twitter.com/u0qIGOizdF

      141 replies 47 retweets 188 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 8 Apr 2020

      Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Nick Field

      Not sure this is a magic number, but given the natural limits on Trump's ceiling with a national electorate in the absence of an economic boom, Biden's negatives will be key to any chance Trump has at re-electionhttps://twitter.com/nick_field90/status/1247956782640742400 …

      Dan McLaughlin added,

      Nick Field @nick_field90
      The number to watch for Joe Biden is 50%. Hillary fell under that number on March 31st and never hit it again. Biden is currently at 49.7% and will likely get a bump after becoming the presumptive nominee. Does he hold above that threshold? pic.twitter.com/4fJdOiejFu
      13 replies 3 retweets 21 likes
      Show this thread
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 8 Apr 2020

      Anyway, none of this should suggest that we know, yet, how the fall election environment will look. But Republicans should be preparing now for an underdog campaign.

      11:47 AM - 8 Apr 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 27 Likes
      • João Maria Jonet Pat Porter Saoirse Like Inaoirse newsjunkie (((Common Man))) ___@#$___@#$ Marc Moore Fiddmeister CatrionaMDW
      15 replies 3 retweets 27 likes
        1. Mark Noonan‏ @Mark_E_Noonan 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          The polls were always going to show Trump as the underdog. Don’t know why the guys grinding them out are going with absurd turnout models...maybe some focus group somewhere said that Dem voters have to hear their guy is in good shape? It’s weird. Trump wins: rather easily.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Matt Medina‏ @Matt_Medina388 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Didn’t Hillary have a double digit lead over Trump around this time?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Tim‏ @awake247 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Or, Trump will simply use everything in his bag of dirty tricks, lies, and corruption to remain in power. So yeah, Republicans, "prepare".

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Pam Schulz‏ @mom2mn 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Polls now are meaningless. Unless they allow Joe Biden to have the questions ahead of time or have an ear piece in his ear, debates are going to be brutal for Joe Biden. Presidents need to be able to string together coherent thoughts and sentences. The ads will write themselves.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Brett Kleeman‏ @kleeman20 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          You all @NumbersMuncher seem to forget to include how much we are going to see Biden upfront and the full force of GOP against him. You actually think Biden will improve the more the public sees/hears from him?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. badguy974‏ @badguy974 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          biden is senile, so that's going to be a thing. that said, i'm not a all certain people will even care.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Big Gus‏ @AlwaysAggie 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          LOL

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. RDM0980‏ @GeorgialinaCAex 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Since all the traditional issues, even Trump's personality is getting drowned out by this the key factor on whether Trump wins is if the virus explodes in the fall. If it seems Trump is hapless if it rises up then he is doomed. If it seems under control coin toss.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. David Mueller‏ @davidwmueller 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Depends if voters mind voting for a guy with dementia or not.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Tom Ault‏ @tomgault 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          I think a lot of people voting for Biden in November will be voting with the expectation that Obama's policy team will be the ones really running things, and Biden will resign partway through his term and whomever his VP is will take over.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Tom Ault‏ @tomgault 8 Apr 2020
          Replying to @tomgault @baseballcrank

          Biden's cognitive difficulties won't be the issue so many think it will be, because they'll already be baked into the cake for voters who just want to get rid of Trump. Trump occupies almost the same position in 2020 as Hillary did in 2016: a lot of people Just Don't Like Him.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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