We should assume all models *are* highly uncertain. The issue is that we do not have the luxury of time to just play it out & hope we're guessing right about which direction they're off in. Viral pandemics do not move in geologic time.https://twitter.com/asymmetricinfo/status/1243203267775135746 …
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If we over stimulate we get a bit of inflation. If we under-stimulate we get Great Depression Mk. 2.
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But the UK only did something 2 days ago.
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Maybe we can pray it all away. See you in church on Easter.
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