Also, "the model said X would happen if we did nothing, we did something, X didn't happen" does not by itself disprove a model. It may! But that requires actual analysis.
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Models are as good as the data fed into them, and the assumptions they’re built on.
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I don’t say that to *explain* to you what you well know, but just to agree.
End of conversation
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What if... the mass collective reaction and measures diverted resources away from where they would have been most effective strategically? And that the implications of mass unemployment never got factored in? That would have made a bad situation a disaster.
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We collectively keep making all sorts of Malthusian mistakes when it come to these predictions. These models make it easy to keep doing - which is modeling outcomes based on static inputs. *inputs are never static*
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