You can pretty readily get a picture of how it's going to be in any country less far along the curve than Italy by how it's doing compared to how Italy was N days into the outbreak. e.g.https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/117KwKkAUM1YvmDASX_o5T8oPz8vs2_Msb4UqnK2dXtk/edit?usp=sharing …
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total covid 19 deaths still basically dont exist though, on a ww scale taking into account population. it seems certain they never will. the rate of growth is agonizingly slow. spain has leveled off in daily deaths at 600. that number doesnt really exist in the scheme of things
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Hopefully that’s not us in a few weeks.
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