Sanders is in deep trouble; Biden has consolidated his side of the party, the South isn't done yet, & Biden's own home region hasn't even started yet. But it's premature to call this race over just quite yet. If the trajectory doesn't change in the next 2 weeks, it's over.
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38% of the delegates have been awarded. Two weeks from now, we'll be up to 61%.
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Anyway, for now, it behooves Republicans to plan for a Trump-Biden race, which would be a much more conventional matchup than Trump-Sanders.
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Biden's primary trajectory for now looks a lot like McCain 08, Kerry 04, or Dole 96: settling for the unexciting old warhorse. They all lost, of course, as has every candidate of that type since James Buchanan. But a Biden-Trump race will be a referendum on Trump.
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The day of voting exit poll in California apparently had Biden leading Sanders by 22 points, seriously. Even if that's high … probably not.
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I was mildly surprised that it was an instant call last night, if the late vote is stronger for Biden like it has been everywhere....seems like it could be a sub-5 point margin.
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Almost final results in a couple of weeks, apparently. Official results in a month. https://laist.com/2020/03/03/why-california-takes-so-long-to-count-votes-after-elections.php … https://laist.com/2018/11/12/where_california_stands_in_its_vote_count_and_close_socal_races.php …
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Late mailers in California might break towards Biden like the election day vote. There's a chance he could narrow the gap.
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