1. This is against the conventional wisdom, but I think Bloomberg drops out in fairly short order if he really does badly tonight - eg, wins no states, misses multiple 15% thresholds, distant 3d or 4th in delegates.
-
-
6. Bloomberg is not going to drop out just to serve the cause. He's in this for himself. But he's not John Kasich, either. He has a different set of incentives. He knows that he bet heavily on today, & if that fails, his reasons to *want* to stay in start drying up.
Show this thread -
7. If NY was sooner, that would be an easier case to sell himself on. Ohio was a month closer to Super Tuesday in 2016.https://twitter.com/jimgeraghty/status/1234973025092562944 …
Show this thread -
8. All this depends on the circumstances. Could be quite different if Bernie has a massively good night. But I'm telling you not to be surprised if Bloomberg folds his tent by the weekend.
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Well, reportedly Bloomberg stopped spending on post ST states so I wouldn't be surprised to see him drop out as soon as tonight. I think he'll place a distant third in most states, might finish second in a few southern states, and may well finish fourth in a bunch.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.