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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Verified account
@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

      1. This is against the conventional wisdom, but I think Bloomberg drops out in fairly short order if he really does badly tonight - eg, wins no states, misses multiple 15% thresholds, distant 3d or 4th in delegates.

      12 replies 7 retweets 58 likes
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    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

      2. The assumption is that Bloomberg's ego & checkbook can & will keep him in well beyond viability, soaking up attention & playing for a contested convention. Maybe. If he does plausibly tonight, sure. But far from certain.

      6 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
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    3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

      3. One, to the extent that Bloomberg is running for ego, there's a point beyond which getting publicly humiliated is not worth it. He's rich & famous enough that he can still get a megaphone without absorbing more of that.

      2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
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      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

      4. Two, Bloomberg didn't get to be a multibillionaire by throwing good money after bad. If he thinks the campaign is going nowhere, he'll stop.

      2:44 PM - 3 Mar 2020
      • 12 Likes
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      6 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

          5. Three, the theory of his campaign is that stop-Bernie needed a savior. But if the anti-Bernie faction largely consolidates behind Biden, Bloomberg loses both a motivation and a rationale.

          2 replies 0 retweets 11 likes
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        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

          6. Bloomberg is not going to drop out just to serve the cause. He's in this for himself. But he's not John Kasich, either. He has a different set of incentives. He knows that he bet heavily on today, & if that fails, his reasons to *want* to stay in start drying up.

          1 reply 2 retweets 12 likes
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        4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

          Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Jim Geraghty

          7. If NY was sooner, that would be an easier case to sell himself on. Ohio was a month closer to Super Tuesday in 2016.https://twitter.com/jimgeraghty/status/1234973025092562944 …

          Dan McLaughlin added,

          Jim GeraghtyVerified account @jimgeraghty
          Replying to @baseballcrank
          The New York primary is April 28. Can the consultants getting paid by the week convince him that he’ll win that big delegate-rich state two months from now?
          3 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
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        5. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 3 Mar 2020

          8. All this depends on the circumstances. Could be quite different if Bernie has a massively good night. But I'm telling you not to be surprised if Bloomberg folds his tent by the weekend.

          0 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
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        6. End of conversation
        1. (((bookworm)))‏ @tolaatseforim 3 Mar 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Him getting in kind of flys in the face of that premise. Additionally, it's been reported he's paid or obligated to pay staff through year end.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Adso of Melk‏ @PalimpsestMan 3 Mar 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Until he had $50B, this may have been true.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Adso of Melk‏ @PalimpsestMan 3 Mar 2020
          Replying to @PalimpsestMan @baseballcrank

          Realistically, assuming he makes 0% on his money, he still has $2-3B to burn a year before he dies. And keep in mind, it's all about him.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Chuck Brown‏ @chazzbro 3 Mar 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Exactly this.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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