And frankly, the main reason Dole did that well was that 1996 was a very low-turnout election. So, low-propensity black voters stayed home, and those are disproportionately Ds (black Republicans tend to be higher-turnout voters who are determined enough to swim against the tide).https://twitter.com/DrewSav/status/1232770931967381512 …
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Those dynamics were doubly true in the 1990s. African-American voter turnout is generally higher across the board today.
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How low was turnout in the Dole-Clinton race? Only in 1864 & 1996 was turnout less than 95% of the prior election, & 1864 half the states had seceded.
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Replying to @baseballcrank
The thing to note is that Perot generated his own turnout like Bacon generates its own grease. The turnout drop from 92 to 96 mostly lines up with the drop in the Perot vote.
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Replying to @presjpolk
Yeah, Dole got a few more votes than HW, Clinton a few million more, but Perot went from 19M to 8M.
2:06 PM - 26 Feb 2020
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