Trump *did* drive away more Republican voters than he brought in, and Sanders *would* drive away some Democrats, maybe more than he brings in. But these days, more people will vote for their party no matter the nominee than is typically projected.https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1225821740720410624 …
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Yes, there was a real tradeoff with Trump that people gloss over in the polarization discussion. But it's possible there would be a tradeoff w Sanders too, and that he has a (slightly) different winning coalition than other D's, just like Rubio or Cruz might have won differently
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Replying to @BenjySarlin
It's early to project, but the core geographic case for Bernie is MI & WI, the core case against is PA & the Sun Belt.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @BenjySarlin
Bernie's "firewall" or "blue wall" is the same as Clinton's?
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Replying to @IggyBeeBop @BenjySarlin
It's the two states where he crushed her in the primaries last time.
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Replying to @baseballcrank @BenjySarlin
Why do you think that's true? Strong labor history? Does it prove that party and ideology have a strong hereditary component (that they are formed in upbringing and once chosen, very difficult to re-orient)?
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Economic populism in MI, Hillary lost WI entirely due to low turnout from progressives (Romney got more votes there than Trump did).
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