The problem of election forecasting models is that you can never really trust a model just because it was in sync with one election, but there's always a sneaking suspicion that a model with multiple observations is counting a world that no longer exists.https://twitter.com/BenjySarlin/status/1225435542701137921 …
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Replying to @baseballcrank
But if you have to trust s model, it should definitely be the new one that tells one side exactly what they want to hear and then relentlessly promotes itself to that side
1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes
Replying to @BenjySarlin
I have spent so, so, so much of the past 18 years arguing against trusting models and projections fitting precisely that description.
7:11 AM - 6 Feb 2020
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