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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende 27 Jan 2020

      Sean T at RCP Retweeted Mark Murray

      If we are being good Bayesians, this isn’t nearly enough to overwhelm a prior that Delaware will be blue in November. At the same time, that prior ought not be immovable. States change, DE was purple in my lifetime, no reason it can’t be again.https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/1221842905813352451 …

      Sean T at RCP added,

      Mark MurrayVerified account @mmurraypolitics
      It's not every day you see a Delaware poll (3 EVs), but these head-to-heads are noteworthy: Biden 56%, Trump 40% Sanders 47%, Trump 46% Warren 49%, Trump 46% Buttigieg 50%, Trump 45% Trump's approval in DE is 45% pic.twitter.com/P3TMjFbnM4
      Show this thread
      12 replies 14 retweets 44 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 27 Jan 2020
      Replying to @SeanTrende

      DE was one of the states where the 2-party vote swung hardest in Trump's direction without a flip, like Rhode Island & Minnesota. The question is whether there's enough additional give left.pic.twitter.com/LIl3Xz9mqz

      2 replies 2 retweets 11 likes
    3. Patrick_Squarepants‏ @PatrickSquarep6 27 Jan 2020
      Replying to @baseballcrank @SeanTrende

      Thomas Carper "only" won by 22% in 2018, but won by over 30% in 2012 https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=10&year=2018&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=1 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 27 Jan 2020
      Replying to @PatrickSquarep6 @SeanTrende

      Which neatly illustrates both the erosion of the Democrats' position in the state and how strong it remains even after that erosion.

      10:39 AM - 27 Jan 2020
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      • forse Sean T at RCP
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. Patrick_Squarepants‏ @PatrickSquarep6 27 Jan 2020
          Replying to @baseballcrank @SeanTrende

          Just weird that any erosion happened in 2018

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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