I think that Trump can lose if he underperforms in PA, MI or WI - but state of economy right now helps him a lot.
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Economy was performing better before retirees put Trump in office. Especially manufacturing. Trade war didn't help.
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Tracks remarkably with impeachment.
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March to May period is most important from economy perspective. After that and noise is lost in summer holidays. Most important window for real news to affect electorate is rapidly closing. And the economy news right now is uniformly positive.
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I don't know, an economic crash can get the attention of the public pretty quickly. McCain was obviously doomed the week of the stock market crash in 9/2008
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Correct! A lot of time for any number of crazy shit to occur.
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