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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 2 Dec 2019

      Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Michael McDonald

      As I have noted before, only once in American history has a party in power won back the House under the same president who lost it - and only four other times has the House flipped to the party then holding the White House. https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/11/republican-control-house-of-representatives-unlikely-under-trump/ …https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/1201570644279861251 …

      Dan McLaughlin added,

      Michael McDonaldVerified account @ElectProject
      There is lots of chatter about what happens if a Democrat wins the presidency, but doesn't win the Senate Today's NC gerrymandering ruling underscores there is little to no chance a re-elected Trump would have a friendly House of Representatives
      3 replies 2 retweets 9 likes
    2. Liam Donovan‏Verified account @LPDonovan 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @baseballcrank

      The House is uphill for a variety of reasons, but to the extent you feel good about his reelect it's easy to imagine him winning 218 CDs. Different map, but he carried 230 last time, and you're unlikely to end up with too many splits.

      1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @LPDonovan

      If he's re-elected, Rs almost certainly gain House seats. But also will be an interesting question, win or lose, whether we see less ticket-splitting than in 2016, when Trump ran well ahead & well behind R candidates for SEN/GOV/House in various places.

      10:50 AM - 2 Dec 2019
      • 1 Retweet
      • 5 Likes
      • Shashank Nayak Sharer of scary COVID news and cat videos Liam Donovan Varad Mehta
      1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Daniel Scott‏ @DanielScott1011 2 Dec 2019
          Replying to @baseballcrank @LPDonovan

          One of the House Dems' assets, I think, will be how good a "fit" many of their incumbents are for their districts. Folks like Colin Allred, Abigail Spanberger, Lauren Underwood and Katie Porter will be difficult to dislodge from districts they just happen to suit very well.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Palmer Van Tuyl‏ @PalmerTheGolfer 2 Dec 2019
          Replying to @DanielScott1011 @baseballcrank @LPDonovan

          How does Underwood fit her district well? She’s one of the most liberal members of Congress

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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