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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019

      Benjy Sarlin Retweeted David Byler

      On some level luck is a factor, but usually a candidate’s rise and fall tells a pretty clear story based on choices they made along the way. Hyped candidates with lots of advantages often flame out, underdogs sometimes make their own luck, and both happened this cycle already.https://twitter.com/databyler/status/1201534965999001601 …

      Benjy Sarlin added,

      David BylerVerified account @databyler
      this is a thought under development and may be dumb but i sometimes wonder if we think too hard about why candidates fail to gain traction like maybe a decent candidate can do his/her best, get lucky/unlucky w/getting media attention and that's most of the story
      Show this thread
      5 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
      Show this thread
    2. David Byler‏Verified account @databyler 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin

      Sure -- I totally buy that. Beto is a great example of a post-hype faceplant and Buttigieg obvs did a lot of things right to get where he is. More thinking of a Bullock here -- a maybe not-fatally-flawed idea that just sort of stalled?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @databyler

      Maybe wrong man for moment, but that's not luck. But he's also little known nationally and made a catastrophic decision, influenced understandably by governors duties, to enter the race late and not lay more groundwork to correct for that issue.

      4 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @databyler

      Some is choices, some is being the right person for the moment, some is the competition. Bullock got in too late, & Biden occupies the "safe, electable to white Midwesterners" lane.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @baseballcrank @databyler

      To extent "bad luck" was a factor in Bullock's failure to launch, it was indeed having a bunch of higher profile people competing overlapping space. Not only Biden, but Klobuchar, Buttigieg, as well as fellow longshots like Bennet, Ryan, Moulton.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @baseballcrank @databyler

      Not only that, Bullock's top issue is stopping money in politics, an area where Sanders and Warren absolutely dominate even as they occupy a different ideological and biographic space.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @databyler

      And that's an issue nobody ever actually votes on.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @baseballcrank @databyler

      Being seen as the outsider who's against special interests or entrenched institutions can be a huge benefit, it certainly was for Trump in 2016 and gave Sanders momentum versus Clinton. But if that's what you're looking for, Bullock was likely not your first choice.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Benjy Sarlin‏Verified account @BenjySarlin 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @baseballcrank @databyler

      If you mean they don't vote on policy specifics around reform, that's another story, seeing as Trump paid zero price for completely abandoning this angle in office and some of those left-wing populist voters went third party, ensuring Citizens United would stay for decades.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 2 Dec 2019
      Replying to @BenjySarlin @databyler

      You can definitely run with that as part of your narrative (see also McCain), but I'm a firm believer that voters do not actually pull levers on the basis of campaign finance reform. At best, it's a means to ends they want. You run on the ends.

      8:39 AM - 2 Dec 2019
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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