A longstanding issue. Polls tell you probabilities. Some polling gives you more confidence in that than others.https://twitter.com/aedwardslevy/status/1194330695000309760 …
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And polling of presidential primaries is not like any other campaign, because they are conducted sequentially. The momentum effects, changes in the field, etc. create a dynamic unlike any other American election.
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Moreover, caucuses are even crazier. Rick Santorum, in 2012, was in 6th place in Iowa with 7.7% of the vote a week before the caucus and won.pic.twitter.com/VEUexC8Dek
11:14 AM - 12 Nov 2019
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