The historical precedents, as I noted in February, run against Democrats nominating the early frontrunner. It's looking late now for a true dark horse, but as @brianros1 notes, but there remain some recent-ish rebounds. https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/03/five-lanes-in-the-2020-democratic-field/ …https://twitter.com/brianros1/status/1187760732445839361 …
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Gallup, December 1975, a month before Iowa: Hubert Humphrey 30, George Wallace 20, Scoop Jackson 10, Birch Bayh 5. 29% would back Ted Kennedy if he ran. Jimmy Carter not even on the radar.https://www.nytimes.com/1975/12/14/archives/humphrey-at-30-in-poll-widens-democratic-lead-humphrey-with-30-in.html …
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Replying to @baseballcrank
You inspired my dad to tell me that my grandmother knew Humphrey, which I never knew.
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Replying to @brianros1
Finding out new stuff from your dad never gets old.
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Nope. Said my grandmother met him at a Philadelphia fundraiser & he was a good enough politician that when he saw her again at an event at the 1964 convention he remembered her name.
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The most insane of my dad's political stories as a cop was that he worked Malcolm X's wake. Alone.
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