The historical precedents, as I noted in February, run against Democrats nominating the early frontrunner. It's looking late now for a true dark horse, but as @brianros1 notes, but there remain some recent-ish rebounds. https://www.nationalreview.com/2019/03/five-lanes-in-the-2020-democratic-field/ …https://twitter.com/brianros1/status/1187760732445839361 …
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Yeah. It’s possible it doesn’t move. One big difference is I think you need to get some of the Gephardt-Dean dynamic where 2 candidates start going after each other. I think it’s what Booker is playing for honestly.
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Or put another way: I don’t remember Rubio, et. al. going after Trump until after Jan 1. Warren is taking real flak already.
End of conversation
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