I slept a bit longer this morning, but I didn't think it was so long I woke up in 2024. https://twitter.com/EWErickson/status/1179007409660026880 …
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If he wins re-election (too soon to tell indeed!) you'd have to think Ron DeSantis would be a if not the leading contender for 2024. As you say, a lot of things will happen between now and then.
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Gore 2000 HW Bush 1988 Nixon 1960 The sitting VP has a leg up. Plus, again, given Trump's age & other vulnerabilities, major nonzero chance that if Trump is re-elected, Pence is already president by 2024. Whereas if Trump loses, Haley starts off as the favorite.
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