Minnesota wasn’t a swing state.
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Replying to @tedfrank
It was the most closely divided. "Swing" states involve a certain amount of retrospect.
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Replying to @baseballcrank
Swing states are the ones that provide the 215th through 323rd electoral votes.
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Replying to @tedfrank @baseballcrank
I have never heard anyone use the phrase ‘swing state’ for this, even ignoring the bizarre specificity of the range. (So: is this a joke?) A swing state is one that is close and could go either way.
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Replying to @ot_ford @baseballcrank
A swing state is a state that swings both ways and can swing an election, and whoever wins the swing states wins the election. Pennsylvania and Ohio and Florida and North Carolina will be swing states in 2020 even if Trump loses all of them by 10 in a landslide.
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Don’t make me appeal to
@NateSilver538 for a ruling.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Yeah, that’s just not what everyone else means. You’ve made up your own definition. You’re describing something close to ‘tipping-point state’, which is the term Silver uses.
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Replying to @ot_ford @baseballcrank
That is what everyone else means.pic.twitter.com/iUA13qqOGu
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Replying to @tedfrank @baseballcrank
This paragraph describes my definition, not yours.
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Replying to @ot_ford @baseballcrank
Describes my definition. Dan called Minnesota a swing state, and said one could only tell swing states retroactively.
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If you define swing states by reference to their ability to swing the election, then by definition, there can't be enough of them in a single region to swing the election to a candidate with no support in other regions (the original hypothetical here).
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