I'll refine my thinking as we get more data, but if I had to place odds right now & assume Trump & Biden as the candidates, I'd have the D as ~a 55/45 favorite in 2020. Republicans who claim Trump is in no trouble & Democrats who assume he's toast are both fooling themselves.
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I think Harris or Warren most likely of the remaining candidates, or a different female not currently running.
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A VP pick had to either likeable or comforting. She is neither.
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Warren is more likeable and would move libs on Election Day. BidenWarren would be formidable
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