I'll refine my thinking as we get more data, but if I had to place odds right now & assume Trump & Biden as the candidates, I'd have the D as ~a 55/45 favorite in 2020. Republicans who claim Trump is in no trouble & Democrats who assume he's toast are both fooling themselves.
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If I had to predict Biden's running mate right now (assuming he's the nominee), I'd say Booker. Biden is naturally going to be more comfortable with a male Senator as his wingman, Booker is more in line with Biden on economics, but offsets him on criminal justice/race.
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Booker is smoother than that when he's not trying too hard.
2:16 PM - 6 Aug 2019
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