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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

      1. To generalize a bit here, but in a way that I think is helpful in understanding how mass shootings (& similar mass attacks) are similar but different, there tend to be 3 types of these attacks.

      6 replies 21 retweets 36 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

      2. The first type is where the shooter returns to his workplace, school, ex-girlfriend, etc. While the violence is hugely disproportionate & the shooter may have imbibed political radicalization, these are *personal*. The shooter blames his community for his miseries.

      1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
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      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

      3. Most of the shooters in this category seem obvious in retrospect, & are the most promising for interventions: red flag behavior, prevent them from getting armed, route them towards treatment, etc.

      11:01 AM - 5 Aug 2019
      • 2 Retweets
      • 12 Likes
      • Don Quick-Oats Ian Collins Natone Negative EmBee CA Conservative 🌐 Marsh Elhanan Speiser JDL™ ǟռɖʀɛա and 3,486 others
      2 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          4. The second & polar opposite type is the clearly political shooting (Charleston, most Islamist attacks). Again, these may be unwell people, but the *target* is chosen with some sense of political relevance. The keys are hate & a desire to sow fear that tracks the target.

          2 replies 2 retweets 11 likes
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        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          5. These are the kind of attacks that have the best chance of being stopped through traditional anti-terror tools: observing online radicalization, looking for vectors to groups, etc. These guys can & will get weapons. You focus on stopping the man.

          2 replies 3 retweets 11 likes
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        4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          6. What we're dealing with increasingly is a third category: the *random* shooting, where the target has nothing to do with either the shooter personally or the shooter's political goals. True, political terrorism can pick targets of opportunity. But this is more nihilistic.

          5 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
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        5. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          7. This is hard stuff for law enforcement, a kind of gray area between political radicalization & mental illness, but with a predictable relationship with neither. It's mad-at-the-world & publicity-seeking, but the absence of political goals or personal beefs is devilish.

          2 replies 3 retweets 14 likes
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        6. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          8. The Islamists remain a larger, longer-running global threat, with more resources & capabilities. But at least there's enough method to their madness to give investigators a place to start looking.

          3 replies 4 retweets 10 likes
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        7. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          9. The political vector of white supremacists, we can track. But a fair number of the homegrown guys are only tangentially connected to any particular source of radicalization, much less organization. They have no remotely coherent program to obtain power.

          4 replies 3 retweets 8 likes
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        8. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          10. The single biggest thing we can do to stop this, third type of shooting is the hardest thing for our media & culture to do: stop bathing in the publicity of these outrages, which are imitated. The publicity is the only real goal these guys have.

          6 replies 8 retweets 27 likes
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        9. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 5 Aug 2019

          Dan McLaughlin Retweeted AmishDude

          11. Basically, yes. The good news is that the third type feels like a fad that will burn itself out in time. The bad news is, history is full of fads with horrendous body counts. And the more nihilistic types are less likely than the first two to leave a lot of advance clues.https://twitter.com/TheAmishDude/status/1158442858237583362 …

          Dan McLaughlin added,

          AmishDude @TheAmishDude
          To boil this down: There are three kinds of shooters: (1) Mad at their neighbors. (2) Mad at political enemies. (3) Mad at the world. The last is the hardest to deal with. https://twitter.com/baseballcrank/status/1158437226449121280 …
          6 replies 5 retweets 15 likes
          Show this thread
        10. End of conversation
        1. Oliver Darko‏ @oliver_drk 5 Aug 2019
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          You're talking about red flag behavior? These are text messages from Kyle Kashuv. A shy 16-year old white teenager without girlfriend and access to firearms. Kyle told his classmate he will recreate his school into his favorite first-person-shooter. And yet you guys defended him.pic.twitter.com/eEN3DhKeVx

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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