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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      "The parties flipped" is a misleading shorthand: the Democrats gradually stopped pandering to a group that was leaving the party, & started pandering to a group that was entering, while the GOP in both cases was playing catch-up. Dems didn't change tactics, just targets.

      5 replies 16 retweets 53 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Has the influx of ex-Democrats, or more typically the children of Democrats, in the South changed the Republican Party? Sure. But the sources of continuity remain. And even Trump has more in common with the Know-Nothings, John Bell, or Andrew Johnson than he does w/1850s Dems.

      3 replies 5 retweets 31 likes
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    3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Republican growth in the South didn't flip on a dime. It started rumbling in 1928 (Al Smith) & 1938 (Court-packing, 2d New Deal), grew organically outward from ancestral Republican sectors of VA, TN, TX, wasn't really completed until this decade. 1st GOP POTUS to crack it? Ike.

      4 replies 6 retweets 38 likes
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    4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Some Republicans have been more welcoming to immigration than others, some did better in the Northeast. Some immigrant groups were GOP. But broadly speaking, since the mid-19th century the Democrats & not the Rs have been the party of the big cities & recent arrivals.

      1 reply 6 retweets 28 likes
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    5. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      The fact that Democrats were simultaneously the party of big, urban machines full of immigrants *and* the party of slave plantations only makes sense once you accept the transactional rather than principled nature of the D party. The same dynamic explains Joe Biden in the 1970s.

      4 replies 19 retweets 54 likes
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    6. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Fernando Wood, the Tammany Hall Democrat Mayor of New York, wanted NYC to secede from the Union with the slave states, & opposed the 13th Amendment. Upstate New York was full of abolitionist Republicans like William Seward; the City remained Democratic.

      1 reply 8 retweets 35 likes
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    7. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Given the longstanding nature of each of the 2 parties, the answer today for frustrated Republicans is not to join the Democrats, who will never be the party that stands for the general interest or the classical liberal, Lockean principles of the American Founding.

      4 replies 11 retweets 50 likes
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    8. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      The answer, instead, is to stay and fight for the long, proud legacy of those principle in the Republican Party. Every great Republican leader had to accept compromises of those principles & adapt them to new times, but we can always return to them. They haven't left, even now.

      11 replies 12 retweets 53 likes
      Show this thread
    9. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      I have a second set of thoughts to maybe append here later, but I'll leave off here for now. Keep the faith, and never let anybody tell you it's not a faith worth keeping.

      7 replies 4 retweets 35 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Heather Cox Richardson (TDPR)

      So far, an hour later, this is only one Tweet, but it seems likely from the framing of the initial Tweet that it's going to completely ignore everything I actually wrote, from the broad themes to the specific examples to the numerous caveats.https://twitter.com/HC_Richardson/status/1152241043573825538 …

      Dan McLaughlin added,

      Heather Cox Richardson (TDPR)Verified account @HC_Richardson
      Cherry-picked versions of GOP history argue that the party has been unchanging in its support for black rights and ordinary Americans, but that's just not right. The long history of the GOP has been both glorious- as they argue- and sordid. Let's have a look, shall we? /1 https://twitter.com/baseballcrank/status/1152220958041812992 …
      Show this thread
      14 replies 4 retweets 26 likes
      Show this thread
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

      Nearly all of the focus of "the parties switched" narrative is on the South, & there are reasons for that, but it impoverishes history to just ignore the whole rest of the country. Moreover, even the South is not a monolith. Let's look at the presidential vote in the South.

      12:00 PM - 19 Jul 2019
      • 5 Retweets
      • 18 Likes
      • midwestconservative The North American Debra Bueneman Béarnaise Sgt. K. Onyx Stephan Wilson D Bill 'FULLY VAXXED' Ingram Kelly Rek
      3 replies 5 retweets 18 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          I'll use R vote share rather than 2-party vote share for these purposes; both have their uses, but the challenge for Republicans for years was to get a hearing with white Southerners, even when they started abandoning Ds.

          1 reply 3 retweets 12 likes
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        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          "Deep South"=FL/GA/AL/MS/LA "Border South"=TX/TN/VA/AR "Border States"=MD/DE/MO/KY/WV. The two latter had mostly caught up to the nation in R vote share by Ike's time. The Border South states shifted sharply R between 1940-52.pic.twitter.com/ZAf1KS8whz

          3 replies 5 retweets 13 likes
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        4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          The Deep South was also trending more R by the mid-1940s, but its wild swings from 1964-80 are (unlike the Border South states) more directly attributable to the Dixiecrat 3d party vote & the Southern swing back to Carter. In 1980, the Deep South was still less R than the USA.

          1 reply 4 retweets 14 likes
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        5. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          This, too, is an incomplete picture, however; you have to drill into downticket races like the House & state legislatures to see the long trajectory of Republicans breaking through with white Southerners, much of which was generational & tracked the region's economic progress.

          2 replies 5 retweets 12 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          I've written at more length some years ago about the seductive oversimplicity of the "Southern Strategy" mythos, which simply assumes that there are no such thing as national security issues, economic issues, or non-racial social issues. http://baseballcrank.com/archives2/2012/07/politicshistory_6.php …

          6 replies 7 retweets 25 likes
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        7. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          The behavior of the various Dixiecrat politicians after 1965-68 illustrates my view of the continuities of the two parties' patterns of behavior. Dixiecrats were, as a group, pandering populists. You'd expect their behavior to track what they believed would win them votes.

          2 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

          Some of the Dixiecrats who stayed in the D party - the guys Biden was buddy-up with in the 70s - stayed mostly unrepentant, yet won plenty of black votes. Why? Because Democrats are a coalition party. Go back & read some of the NAACP statements in that era.

          10 replies 6 retweets 16 likes
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        9. End of conversation
        1. Arthur Paine‏ @johnlecare 20 Jul 2019
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          “Everyone please remember how we used to be and not what we are now”

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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