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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

    I'm inclined to think Trump will at least make Minnesota very competitive if he is winning Wisconsin. The MN/WI/IA regional trend is to hang together. https://twitter.com/JimWilke/status/1152281976180752386 …pic.twitter.com/zOAJLtvub1

    11:33 AM - 19 Jul 2019
    • 5 Retweets
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    • matthew8787 Eric Hughes 🦅 Renato Reis Justin Kennedy ✝️ kaitlin, rino attention seeking whore Lee Howk Dave Stephen E. Michael Burmeister
    7 replies 5 retweets 17 likes
      1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 19 Jul 2019

        If you're wondering, when you plot them against the national trend, the pattern may be messier, but the three Upper Midwest states all trended R from 1988-2000, and have been doing so again since 2008.pic.twitter.com/twEmnI2geF

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      1. Neil Stevens‏ @presjpolk 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        And the more credibly populist a guy sounds, the more they like him.

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      1. Jason‏ @jasonhsv 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        I would say Trump made MN competitive in 2016 - lost by 45k votes.

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      2. CTIronman‏ @CTIronman 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Counter-argument: population swings to college Ed whites in Twin City Metro not really replicated in WI

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Justin‏ @KeystoneObsrvr 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @CTIronman @baseballcrank

        Madison may be roughly maxed out for Dems, Greater Twin Cities is not. Though Rs certainly not maxed out in rural MN.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      2. Dan Wholihan‏ @DWholihan 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        I'll need to see it to believe it with Minny. There's a path to win, but R's need to run the table to take it. Minny is the last Midwestern State to flip (outside of Illinois which is more of a Coastal State culturally) and more of a D tradition.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      3. Mauty480‏ @Mauty480 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @DWholihan @baseballcrank

        I’ve been skeptical of Minny flipping myself. That being said, airing Omar in all ads nonstop just might do the trick.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Reddened64‏ @Reddened64 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        And IA had a strong statewide Democratic party about ten years ago. Elected Culver, Harkin, Obama (2x), Gore.

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      1.  🇺🇸Night "Dont Whip Me Bro” Wood ✞⚭ ⚓‏ @Shteina_Gott 19 Jul 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        For a non-wonk like me, how does population drift work into these prognostications? The northwest exurbs of MPLS are surging like mad, Emmer's deep red district in particular, people moving there heavily for the top rated schools.

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