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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 28 Jun 2019

    A POTUS candidate should aim to do 3 things: 1. Encourage turnout of your own side's voters 2. Discourage, or at least not encourage, turnout of the other side's voters 3. Win over voters persuadable to either side Biden is likely the best D candidate for #2 & 3, worst for #1.

    8:39 AM - 28 Jun 2019
    • 4 Retweets
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    • Matt Mackowiak Rizzo's Walking Buddy ctyankee71 Michael Lee Alison Somin Eric Hughes 🦅 InfinityBall Ben Paul Morelli
    8 replies 4 retweets 41 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 28 Jun 2019

        Whether you think that makes Biden a good general election candidate or not depends on your theory of the 2020 electorate. But some of the others who can succeed at #1 will fail badly at #2.

        4 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
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      3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 28 Jun 2019

        Of course, the Democrats' entire theory of the 2020 election would go up in smoke without Trump. He, personally, is their best asset.

        4 replies 1 retweet 14 likes
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      4. End of conversation
      1. Neil Stevens‏ @presjpolk 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        Yup. Biden undercuts so many attacks on Trump. Hands all over women? Check. Deemed racist by the social justice left? Check. Loves him some segregationists? He's the CARICATURE of Trump.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Billy Keene‏ @billykeene22 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        The Dems most against Biden are also most against Trump. It’s weird to me if Biden did get the nod, they’d sit out and not vote as opposed to trying to oust the man they hate.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Brian Chovanec‏ @Brian_Chovanec 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        In the '20 election, #3 will be much less important than in other elections, as Trump is polarizing & almost all mave made up their mind on him. Then it becomes a numbers game of whether Biden's 2 minus 1 nets a greater raw total than (for example) Harris's 1 minus 2. (1/2)

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Brian Chovanec‏ @Brian_Chovanec 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @Brian_Chovanec @baseballcrank

        My first thought is that a Harris strategy would definitely be better than a Biden strategy for raw popular vote margin, not as sure about electoral college. But I do think Harris'20 would improve on HRC'16 in mobilizing Detroit/Philadelphia/Milwaukee turnout. (2/2)

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Tom Maguire‏ @Tom_Maguire 28 Jun 2019
        Replying to @baseballcrank

        As nominee Biden's pitch to party leaders and commoners is, we need the full machine to win the White House, Senate and House. Sorta mirrors 2016 Reps who were repulsed by Hillary so grudgingly backed Trump.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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