This is an interesting result to me. Definitely worth keeping an eye on.
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It could also include Democrats who have convinced themselves that Russia will steal the election. Whatever the case, it has historically been a poor measure, as it assume Bill Clinton was done for and Obama's number was meh.
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That theory comes to mind but what to make of: https://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2011/10/majority-expects-obama-to-lose-re-election/ …
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Obama would have lost in 2011.
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exactly. most of us will quietly go to the polls.
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And yes, I should've just said "shy trump voter" instead of Trump Effect, but I was trying to riff off of Bradley Effect. The point is that indirect questions - and the "do you think Trump'll win reelection" is a good one - are probably better indicators of Trump support for now.
End of conversation
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