All the usual cautions about early polls apply, and then some when dealing with turnout models in Texas. But only Trump could actually be in the position of trailing Joe Biden & having a negative approval rating *in Texas* in the spring of 2019 https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/tx/tx06052019_tgye56.pdf/ …
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Polls generally were too favorable towards Cruz and Texas Republicans all last cycle as well. Abbott, Hurd, and John Carter all underperformed their polling.
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