By comparison, Ted Cruz never trailed in the hugely hyped 2018 Texas Senate race - in fact, RCP doesn't list a single poll where he trailed, and 538 lists just a single September Ipsos poll. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/senate/tx/texas_senate_cruz_vs_orourke-6310.html#polls …https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/senate/texas/#polls …
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It’s also Quinnipiac which has Trumps approval rating consistently 7-10 points worse than the rest of the RCP average. To me it’s basically the same as if Rasmussen had Trump +5 over Biden in Virginia.
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if trump should blow texas the ranks of "never trumpers" will retroactively balloon
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