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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 29 Mar 2019

      What's the weirdest electoral college result in recent history? I'll go first... Indiana going blue in 2008.

      54 replies 11 retweets 138 likes
    2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 29 Mar 2019
      Replying to @PatrickRuffini

      What was the deal with Hawaii in 04... Remember how competitive it seemed...

      5 replies 2 retweets 48 likes
    3. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 29 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten @PatrickRuffini

      I think there was just one bad/weird poll. If you had been at 538 back then, we'd have made you write the "No, Bush Probably Isn't Going To Win Hawaii" story.

      4 replies 3 retweets 87 likes
    4. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 29 Mar 2019
      Replying to @NateSilver538 @ForecasterEnten @PatrickRuffini

      (And if 538 had existed back then.)

      3 replies 0 retweets 39 likes
    5. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 29 Mar 2019
      Replying to @NateSilver538 @PatrickRuffini

      I can see it now... Anyway, it seems there were somehow two polls! https://www.realclearpolitics.com/Presidential_04/hi_polls.html … Either way, that was weird.

      5 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 29 Mar 2019
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten @NateSilver538 @PatrickRuffini

      Yeah, I recall @GerryDales discussing this on his site at the time. Definitely a pro-incumbency tilt thing.

      4:10 PM - 29 Mar 2019
      • 2 Likes
      • Lord Stanley Random Old Guy
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Patrick Ruffini‏Verified account @PatrickRuffini 29 Mar 2019
          Replying to @baseballcrank @ForecasterEnten and

          It did end up pretty close! 9 points

          2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 29 Mar 2019
          Replying to @PatrickRuffini @ForecasterEnten and

          Closest outcome in Hawaii since 1980.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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