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baseballcrank's profile
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
Dan McLaughlin
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@baseballcrank

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Dan McLaughlinVerified account

@baseballcrank

Senior Writer @NRO. Reaganite, Catholic, Mets fan, ex-lawyer. Opinions 100% my own, but you can share them. Not the Cardinals broadcaster.

New York
nationalreview.com/author/dan-mcl…
Joined May 2009

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    1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      Dan McLaughlin Retweeted Jane Coaston

      In 2012, Mitt Romney won 51% of voters with a college degree (no postgrad), 53% of married women, & won white women 56-42, widest margin of any candidate since Reagan in 84. Driving those voters off is a choice.https://twitter.com/janecoaston/status/1024333095271579649 …

      Dan McLaughlin added,

      Jane CoastonVerified account @janecoaston
      Steve Bannon, bad at politics. “The Republican college-educated woman is done,” he said. “They’re gone. They were going anyway at some point in time. Trump triggers them. This is now the Trump movement.” https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2018/07/inside-the-trump-2020-campaigns-disorganized-attempt-to-keep-america-great …
      Show this thread
      36 replies 119 retweets 427 likes
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    2. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      Of course, anything that changes course to add to your political coalition will cost you *some* voters, but a winning strategy builds out from the people you have; it doesn't burn it down in hopes of starting over.

      4 replies 6 retweets 46 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      Really only successful example of a party rebooting itself by abandoning its base's concerns to chase new voters was Democrats in 1928 after 1920 & 1924 catastrophes. Ds lost badly in 1928, but set themselves up for explosive growth in 1932-36...with huge assist from Depression.

      3 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
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    4. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      It's debatable historically whether, without the Depression, the socially conservative white southerners who'd been the Dems' bedrock thru 1924 would have jumped ship earlier at the party's abrupt shift to an urban, ethnic Northern constituency.

      3 replies 4 retweets 17 likes
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    5. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      That said, FDR managed the balancing act better than Al Smith had; he wasn't Catholic, Prohibition had burned out as an issue, & FDR played up Southern ties, was more openly friendly to segregationists.

      2 replies 4 retweets 20 likes
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      Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

      (Aside: anybody who talks about Richard Nixon having a "Southern Strategy" & doesn't acknowledge FDR's Southern Strategy is either ignorant or selling you propaganda.)

      10:05 AM - 31 Jul 2018
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      10 replies 13 retweets 50 likes
        1. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018

          Anyway, here is the shift in the two-party vote from 1924 to 1928, by state. Massive Dem gains in a whole bunch of states they still lost, but that made them competitive again (states in purple flipped R to D):pic.twitter.com/JguNSVD6sZ

          3 replies 2 retweets 15 likes
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        1. Forrest Chump‏ @ForrestChump_ 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          And at last we arrive at your real point.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. CTIronman‏ @CTIronman 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          When Nixon did a “Southern Strategy” it wasn’t at the expense of the ability to win Northern states the GOP was competitive in.

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        2. Craig Calcaterra‏Verified account @craigcalcaterra 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Without defending FDR/1930s Democrats' racial attitudes, there is quite a difference between pursuing a "Southern Strategy" decades before the Civil Rights Movement and launching it just after its peak, with an aim to harness revanchist resentment of the Civil Rights Movement.

          1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
        3. Dan McLaughlin‏Verified account @baseballcrank 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @craigcalcaterra

          Only the tip of the iceberg of the problem with the narrative. But if you're still talking about Nixon 50 years later, you should really be addressing what came before Nixon as well. The fight for white southern voters covers nearly a century of history from ~1928-2010.

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        2. Brian Chovanec‏ @Brian_Chovanec 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Fair enough, but then how do you call 1928-32 D a successful rebranding and not 1968-72 R?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Scott "Free Arie" Warren‏ @big_sarge1 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @Brian_Chovanec @baseballcrank

          Really? Nixon's best southern performance in '68 was FL, with 40.53%. He won 4 southern states, fewer than Wallace. If Wallace doesn't run, Humphrey wins, and this talk of a Nixon southern strategy wouldn't exist at all. In '72, Nixon won 49 states. Southern, or national?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Scott "Free Arie" Warren‏ @big_sarge1 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Anyone who talks about Richard Nixon having a "Southern Strategy" reveals that they are completely ignorant of American politics and should not be taken seriously. Prove me wrong.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Autumn Deidre  🍁‏ @mandalorchick 31 Jul 2018
          Replying to @baseballcrank

          Nixon was far more recent

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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