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Oceania will probably get it faster than what you are predicting. Australia's got vaccine production capabilities and has already set aside extra funding and resources to get it done with its immediate neighbours swiftly.
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Yes we had a debate internally about the pac islands. Prime candidates for some vaccine diplomacy due to small numbers and tourism dependence. So agree we may be too pessimistic, esp for new caledonia, Fiji,Samoa
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It occurs to me that most of the western world has orders to vaccinate their entire population several times over this year. I cannot help but think that a lot of these surplus vaccine doses are going to be transferred to other countries at some point.
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More likely it's implementation and logistics. Just because we have it doesn't mean it gets to the right people in time. 🤷‍♂️
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