As a student, seemed like everyone was told to be more confident. Self-consciousness in HS; imposter syndrome in college In startup world, conversation is about over-confidence. Hubris of big ideas, need for compromise in the work place, assumed failure mode for decision making
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When I was younger, I thought I could balance out overconfidence by also voicing your uncertainty and asking for lots of input / criticism. While they don't cancel out, I still think this is a nice way to operate.
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This is basically the exact opposite of my experience with the startup world!
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Really? Would love to hear more. FWIW, I didn't mean that startup founders aren't self-conscious / uncertain as well. Just saying I don't see any culture of worrying about that.
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I meant it's common wisdom among founders that you should be irrationally overconfident in yourself and your projects. (When I probe deeper, they often end up modifying that into a more nuanced position. But I think it's fair to call the glib first take the common wisdom)
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Yeah, in terms of actually understanding the odds I think that is usually true when you dig deeper
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Different framing: • As a student, mental model was that our peers didn't believe in their thoughts and would under-share. • After dropping out, the mental model flipped to startup peers on average loving their own thoughts a bit too much and likely over-sharing.
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Having spoken to both of you (at least tangentially) about this, I think you're talking about slightly different things here
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I *think* the kind of confidence John is talking about is in the self-esteem, "put yourself out there!" sense, whereas Julia is talking about the "what probability does this have of being true?" sense of the word. The two are correlated but not the same thing
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If only we had two separate words for this...https://medium.com/@jbackus/dissecting-confidence-certainty-vs-motivation-to-act-1acdb3212b25 …
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Not sure _anything_ makes everyone happy! My friend (& PhD supervisor) friend Carl Caves used this as a personal motto:pic.twitter.com/f0bSUsRwOW
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