The HN simulation is about bringing forward counter arguments that you are already aware off but might not be top of mind. The Twitter simulation is about tricking your emotions into revealing how likely you think there are good counter arguments out there that you haven't found
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In this case, the simulated responses to this tweet are pointing out that HN commenters are toxic I agree that many HN comments are negative or not productive. Even if half the simulated comments are strawmen, that can still shape your presentation in a constructive way.
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I'm not sure how well these techniques generalize to others, but I find that they work really well for me. If I had to speculate, I'd bet our brains our brains are better at simulating how others will behave than systematically pulling up facts in isolation.
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