Does personal knowledge about psychology or rationality actually help with large or small personal decision making? Seems like a premise of learning about cognitive biases, LessWrong, etc.
-
-
Maybe learning to identify bias *is* helpful for people but the folks gravitating to LW and reading about biases for fun are the least likely to benefit from this because their thinking might be more rigorous than average already.
Show this thread -
Maybe we are worse at achieving goals if we remove our own bias in favor of correctness. Convincing yourself that your new company is a guaranteed success probably makes you a more convincing leader. Your politics are probably more convincing if you give in to confirmation bias.
Show this thread -
FWIW, I do think LW rationality is helpful. Prob helps with decisions and at very least I'd bet it is helpful like reading a book that gives you a different perspective on the world is helpful. Mainly just fun to try doing a premortem for why it might not help. /cc
@juliagalefShow this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
This is a good criticism of what LW sometimes calls "Straw rationality", but LW rationality itself is very focused on the question of figuring out what gut feelings mean and using them wisely in judgment/decision-making
-
Treating intuition as starting prior is one of my fave aspects of LW, didn't mean to frame as straw rationality. Reframe: When extending intuition with rationality, maybe the result is a less familiar place that net hurts ability to decide?
-
Ex: Lukewarm on potential hire after interview. Leaning towards passing but I recognize my perception is tainted because I wanted to end interview during because I have a lot of work and I find the median interview boring. Can't spend more time interviewing. Am I better off?
-
Also if it isn't obvious where the LW rationality fits into that example, I'm mainly thinking that 1. I'd be labeling the desire to stop early as motivated stopping 2. My desire to stop the interview would introduce confirmation bias where I'm looking for reasons to pass
- 7 more replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.