Tech visionaries aim for elegant ideals but 80/20 "worse is better" compromises usually takeover: • UNIX, not Symbolics Genera • Linux, not Plan 9 • JS-heavy Web 2.0, not the Semantic Web When forecasting the future, consider where adopter laziness can erode elegance.
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Blockchain subtext: when
@VitalikButerin shares opinions on how blockchain may work in the future, it should update your priors more in terms of direction than end state. Ask what the “poor man’s vision” is. It’ll help you sniff out more of the end state probability distributionShow this thread -
Ambition and youthful idealism have a complex relationship. More likely to bite off more than you can chew if you don’t realize how big the bite is. Related: anticipating user behavior is hard. Maybe letting the market degrade design elegance is optimal. Aim for 80/20, get 60/40
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