@backus this thread on HN prompted me to think about YouTube's demonetization "crisis" and how it's affected content creators https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=17577372 …
...and how that relates to some of what you've been discussing re: decentralization
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I think we haven't seen a jump to decentralized YouTube not just because of network effects and brand equity already being in place, but because on the internet demand matters so much more than supply (c.f. https://stratechery.com/2015/aggregation-theory/ …) YouTubers will endure a LOT to keep the audience
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So my thesis + prediction is that on the internet, any jump to a decentralized system has to be user-led, not maker- or creator-led. Obviously platform / protocol creators have to be present, but the people who supply content professionally will follow the users, not vice versa
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Replying to @sonyaellenmann
Interesting. Is the crisis just that people's videos get algorithmically demonetized and there is no recourse?
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Replying to @backus
Yes and often for spurious reasons. Once the demonetization is overturned by humans, if that ever even happens, the majority of viewers have already watched
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Replying to @sonyaellenmann
Yeah, I wouldn't expect this to do much for PeerTube. I agree switching platforms must be user-led, but it is usually subgroups exiting while the rest of the user base is unchanged. See alt-right (I think?) fleeing to voat. Wherever r/DarknetMarkets went is prob interesting too
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My prediction for PeerTube (or something like it) is that it will be privacy activists + less than desirable communities that legitimately need a home. Speculating on current events, prob whatever weird subcultures we don't know about that get screwed by future fake news policing
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