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b_schaffner's profile
Brian Schaffner
Brian Schaffner
Brian Schaffner
@b_schaffner

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Brian Schaffner

@b_schaffner

Political scientist ~ Newhouse Professor of Civic Studies at Tufts ~ CCES Whisperer ~ Slytherin ~ he/his ~ #COYS #GoDawgs

Medford, MA
brianfschaffner.com
Joined June 2015

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    1. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      Results from a nationally representative election poll fielded by our @TuftsUniversity Polling the 2020 Election seminar. Nat'l Likely voters (10/20): Biden 52% Trump 45% Interactive crosstabs: https://bfschaffner.shinyapps.io/tuftspoll/  Story: https://tischcollege.tufts.edu/tufts-students-poll-2020-election … Key findings in the THREAD

      10 replies 35 retweets 117 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      Who is voting early? @jshochberg99 shows that both age and partisanship are important factors. @aadhyashiv shows that students and people who are retired or disabled are more likely to vote early.pic.twitter.com/B4eaFlZeAR

      1 reply 8 retweets 28 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      Those early voters are also tilted heavily in Biden's favor. @rep_martinez shows that four out of five Latinx early voters have voted for Biden so far in 2020.pic.twitter.com/nYGM8n8006

      1 reply 10 retweets 42 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      How does Biden's support compare to what Clinton received in 2016? @zacharylhertz shows that Biden's biggest gains are coming among those with more education. @BrendanHartnett finds that Biden has especially improved among independents who lean Democratic.pic.twitter.com/t5KBZyIAFE

      1 reply 5 retweets 34 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      And those who didn't vote in 2016 also appear to be key in this election. @Lucasbenji17 shows that 2016 non-voters who are likely to vote in 2020 prefer Biden over Trump by a wide margin.pic.twitter.com/TjCDvD1xkB

      3 replies 14 retweets 43 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      Speaking of turnout, @bnarbac shows that ideologues are most likely to show up as likely voters, especially those on the conservative end of the spectrum. Yet, Biden's edge holds even despite this.pic.twitter.com/3zNwath7nb

      1 reply 3 retweets 21 likes
      Show this thread
      Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

      Racial attitudes are, as always, a key factor in 2020. @emmadellavolpe shows that younger whites are more likely to acknowledge racism. And Kathleen Lanzilla shows that denial of racism reduces support for Biden among some Democrats.pic.twitter.com/8vj6EYnSb9

      8:15 AM - 29 Oct 2020
      • 3 Retweets
      • 17 Likes
      • EyeForTruth Buckeye Kelly🚂🚄🚆🚲✈🛣🛤 Diana Me Wear a Mask! Tufts Political Science John Della Volpe yo b lemme get a shot Dave Ebner, Ph.D. Brendan Hartnett
      2 replies 3 retweets 17 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

          Which issues do voters trust each party to handle in 2020? Ryan Shaffer finds that Republicans are more trusted on the economy and crime, while Democrats have the edge on healthcare, inequality, and dealing with Covid-19.pic.twitter.com/ipR5ELWExm

          5 replies 4 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

          How are swing voters behaving in 2020? @bennettfw36 looks at vote preferences among suburbanites by gender and finds smaller differences than you might expect. @ewiney8 finds that independents who pay more attention to news are more likely to support Trump.pic.twitter.com/dVq4Rn7Pz3

          5 replies 3 retweets 13 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Brian Schaffner‏ @b_schaffner 29 Oct 2020

          Aly Haver looks at how Trump compares to Romney on favorability ratings. Trump is more loved among Rs and Romney less disliked among Ds. @tunadahuman shows that Trump fares better with those who chose to give a partisan response rather than a correct one on a test question.pic.twitter.com/mN1N1eT5as

          0 replies 3 retweets 12 likes
          Show this thread
        5. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Jan Zilinsky‏ @janzilinsky 29 Oct 2020
          Replying to @b_schaffner @emmadellavolpe

          Jan Zilinsky Retweeted Jan Zilinsky

          Terrific charts. The relationship between racial attitudes and voting Republican is strong but appears to be weakening:https://twitter.com/janzilinsky/status/1309481529370869760 …

          Jan Zilinsky added,

          Jan Zilinsky @janzilinsky
          2020 will be different from 2016 Evidence from Nationscape: pic.twitter.com/2yH9kiDzOQ
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Joel Wertheimer‏ @Wertwhile 29 Oct 2020
          Replying to @janzilinsky @b_schaffner @emmadellavolpe

          1) does hostile sexism battery look similar and 2) is racial resentment correlated with civic engagement measures in Nationscape (might suggest less chance for polling error if so)?

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation

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