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Prikvačeni tweet
What we can learn from the Obama-Trump voters that Democrats won back in 2018, and what it means for the party’s strategy in 2020. My latest with
@SeanMcElweehttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/06/opinion/obama-trump-voters.html …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
In doing the "needle," I had to go through the steps of trying to actually formally spell out how you do an Iowa caucus. And I have to tell you, it was way harder than I thought. These rules are complicated.
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this is one of the people you should be following in 2020https://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1224497972400050177 …
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a throwback piece from
@eitanhersh on what makes caucus participants uniquehttp://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2012/01/03/a-caucus-goers-community/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
very disappointing news for everyone who has been thinking "what this field needs is another old white guy"https://twitter.com/JohnKerry/status/1224088712058937344 …
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the relationship b/w age and preference for Sanders vs Biden is consistent in all the polls, so it wouldn't be surprising to find that assumptions about the age distribution of caucus participants will matter: so are 17-29 year olds in IA going to caucus like it's 2016 or 2008?
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exit polls often overstate youth turnout, but let's set that aside for the moment. the last NYT/Siena poll (which has Sanders up by 7 over Biden) has 17-29 year olds making up 22.5% of caucus participants. the last CBS/YouGov poll (which shows a tie) has the figure at 15%
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who knows what will happen in Iowa tonight, but I'll be interested to see what the age distribution of caucus participants looks like. in 2016, 17-29 year olds were 18% of Democratic caucus participants, according to the entrance polls. in 2008, it was 22%.
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Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
Happy to have presented my work at the
#IAcaucusconference and wanted to share some of the figures from the@IowaStateU/@Civiqs 5 wave panel survey.Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
Spoke to TIME about Iowa, NH, and the upcoming Democratic debates... Other insights from
@ProfHansNoel@jennifernvictor@Graniteprof@margaretomara In short, ¯\_(ツ)_/¯https://time.com/5773016/february-democratic-debates/ …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
once again,
@kabir_here with some great analysis of what might happen in Iowahttps://twitter.com/kabir_here/status/1223983772439326720 …
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Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
Running numbers on the effect of sexism on candidate preferences among Dems, in case anyone's still wondering if being a woman hurts Warren.pic.twitter.com/T8t7bXtgTs
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well if we’re counting Emerson than the 4th survey could just be my twitter pollhttps://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1223716853727604736 …
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even my birthday wishes end up being politicalhttps://twitter.com/mia_i_costa/status/1223384535150350336 …
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Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
This graph is amazinghttps://twitter.com/b_schaffner/status/1223291592053788672 …
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This is spot on. Plus, in the states, 95% of weekend matches are over by noon, meaning minimal interference with other plans.https://twitter.com/laurabronner/status/1223318766123212801 …
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candidate reminds people he was running for president by dropping out of the racehttps://twitter.com/JohnDelaney/status/1223228260131188736 …
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this graph, from my new article in POQ with
@Anthony_Rentsch and@justinhgross, is one of my favorites...a lot of interesting lessons in therepic.twitter.com/sXNfC9QZTC
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Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
Read
@BrendanNyhan on why Democrats don't want Sanders to win but won't attack him. The parallels to the 2016 Republican primary are impressive. Let's review! 1/nhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/damned-if-the-do-doomed-if-they-dont-why-sanders-rivals-dont-go-negative/2020/01/30/851e91a6-42b4-11ea-b503-2b077c436617_story.html …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
So excited to see this in print, especially because this started as
@Anthony_Rentsch’s senior thesis at@umasspolscihttps://twitter.com/anthony_rentsch/status/1222943448296304640 …
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Brian Schaffner proslijedio/la je Tweet
Good to see Newcastle secure themselves an unnamed dressing-room source.
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