So a lot of comments explaining to me that a 30% chance of rain means that 30% of simulation runs show rain. Yes, I know that!! But my question is - what physical quantity does that 30% correspond to? We don’t usually report parameter estimates where the ...https://twitter.com/daniela_witten/status/1343245828945833988 …
Do these models ever consider temporal information? Could 30% chance of rain on Tuesday in London mean that I will definitely be caught in a heavy storm tomorrow from 12pm to 7:12pm? Should I pack an umbrella?
to 
