"comfortable making EV estimates" prompts this (possibly self-serving) hypothesis: one of the highest leverage things someone like me could work on would be tools to give many more humans access to bayesian modeling (eg, a "bayesian spreadsheet"), improving the EV of EV estimateshttps://twitter.com/juliagalef/status/984142820754649088 …
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Agreed, I'm eager to see any experiments you do with this!
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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