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avibryant's profile
Avi Bryant
Avi Bryant
Avi Bryant
@avibryant

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Avi Bryant

@avibryant

Happiest when working on Random Forests from random beaches.

Galiano Island
avibryant.com
Joined November 2006

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    Avi Bryant‏ @avibryant Apr 2

    Avi Bryant Retweeted Avi Bryant

    One way to say this in poker terms, I guess, is that "ICs are always playing short-stacked." Which also might explain the (usually senior) ICs that "irrationally" take on riskier projects: they've got a deeper stack from previous wins (often literally, in the form of savings).https://twitter.com/avibryant/status/980918721479929863 …

    Avi Bryant added,

    Avi Bryant @avibryant
    Replying to @emdashry @Lethain @mlmanapat
    One of the hardest problems in management, IMO, is aligning incentives here. Managers (& companies) get to maximize expected value over a portfolio of projects. ICs are less diversified and often only rewarded for successes, so are more risk-averse than would be globally optimal.
    4:15 PM - 2 Apr 2018
    • 1 Retweet
    • 21 Likes
    • hupp Peter Cottle Adam Pingel Sriram Krishnan Tom Switzer Serkan Camurcuoglu Steve Woodrow Andy Matuschak mat kelcey
    3 replies 1 retweet 21 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Kent Beck‏Verified account @KentBeck Apr 2
        Replying to @avibryant

        Love the analogy. Wait for a big hand and shove. Fold everything else. Management can provide deeper stacks, but not so deep as to encourage sloppy play.

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. New conversation
      2. Vitaly Gordon‏ @vitalygordon Nov 2
        Replying to @avibryant

        Another aspect of this is that the best strategy is to take risky projects right after a promotion and to take safe projects before

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. Argyris Zymnis  ⚙‏ @argyris Apr 2
        Replying to @avibryant

        Except that the risk of failed project is much higher for a manager than the ICs working on it. If something goes very wrong the manager could get fired while the IC might miss a promotion

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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