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avibryant's profile
Avi Bryant
Avi Bryant
Avi Bryant
@avibryant

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Avi Bryant

@avibryant

Happiest when working on Random Forests from random beaches.

Galiano Island
avibryant.com
Joined November 2006

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    Avi Bryant‏ @avibryant 30 Jul 2014

    I'll admit to bias here but I find this article bizarrely wrongheaded: http://a16z.com/2014/07/30/the-happy-demise-of-the-10x-engineer/ … The function is converging on 1, not 0.

    10:00 AM - 30 Jul 2014
    • 9 Retweets
    • 8 Likes
    • Paul Smith Thomas Lockney (he/him) selena michael abbott Brett Evans uncool 🌮 Ernie Miller Mark Nijhof Coty Rosenblath
    9 replies 9 retweets 8 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Avi Bryant‏ @avibryant 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        ... and the jump from 1 to 0 is utterly, fundamentally different than the progression from N to 1.

        5 replies 6 retweets 3 likes
      3. Ernie Miller‏ @erniemiller 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant @chadfowler It seems to me that if anything, converging on one makes the quality of that "one" more relevant, not less.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Tom B Brown‏ @nottombrown 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @erniemiller

        @erniemiller @avibryant @chadfowler remove the article’s title / last sentence and you get an accurate but banal description of “progress”

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Tom B Brown‏ @nottombrown 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @nottombrown

        @erniemiller @avibryant @chadfowler keep them and you get OMG THOUGHT LEADER FUTURIST

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      6. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sam Gerstenzang‏ @gerstenzang 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant Now non-engineer can open Shopify store, start big business. Much closer to 1 on open-ended problems, but directionally to 0.

        2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
      3. Avi Bryant‏ @avibryant 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @gerstenzang

        @gerstenzang but the open ended problems are the interesting ones. There will never be a Shopify that lets you start the next Google.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Avi Bryant‏ @avibryant 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @gerstenzang where we differ may simply be that any activity that creates new software - regardless of tool - I would call engineering.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      5. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Omelas County Chamber of Commerce‏ @coda 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant Also, pretty sure you could swap out “AWS” for “4GL” and it’d fit right into 1994 just fine.

        1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
      3. 1 more reply
      1. paco nathan‏ @pacoid 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        pretty sure I read this article c. 1985 @avibryant ... something, something Fifth Generation ... something, something http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fifth_generation_computer#Failure …

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
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      1. New conversation
      2. Camille Fournier‏Verified account @skamille 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant The idea that it is even converging on 1 is laughable, but great point

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Marco Rogers‏ @polotek 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @skamille

        @skamille @avibryant we are biased. I kind of agree with a lot of that actually. Difficult to see because it is so far future.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Camille Fournier‏Verified account @skamille 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @polotek

        @polotek @avibryant Maybe? I mean, I work in a post-AWS startup, and the idea that one person could produce all the shit we need to run...

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. Camille Fournier‏Verified account @skamille 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @skamille

        @polotek @avibryant and like, I'm not usually solving the hardest computing problems. But I'm solving a LOT of problems at once.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. Camille Fournier‏Verified account @skamille 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @skamille

        @polotek @avibryant The examples given of post-AWS startups at least started out with VERY narrow focus and features. Do one thing, scale it

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Camille Fournier‏Verified account @skamille 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @skamille

        @polotek @avibryant I believe that you might be able to do that with 1 (or 0?) engs in the future. But also those will be more ephemeral

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      8. End of conversation
      1. Gabriel Claramunt‏ @gclaramunt 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant but I suspect the goal is more about selling the VC "product"

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Gabriel Claramunt‏ @gclaramunt 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant Fred Brooks argued the opposite point in "No silver bullet" and still holds almost 30 years after.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Omelas County Chamber of Commerce‏ @coda 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant It starts off by conflating force multiplication with democratization and ends with enthusiastic cloud-waving. Hard pass.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Bohemian Rock City‏ @cowtowncoder 30 Jul 2014
        Replying to @avibryant

        @avibryant @skamille I think it is wrongheaded -- component-based just-compose software has always been "10 years from now", remains so

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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