I discovered yesterday that 3 of us at @Shopify share my birthday. Which is pretty useless trivia /cc @benfscheme @andrewdunbar
@snoble what are the chances? No, really, you're not going to tell us the probability?
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@avibryant what's the probability that I share my birthday with at least 2 others at@shopify? given all current knowledge: 100%. -
@snoble@avibryant Once, at a lecture about the birthday paradox, I also had significant prior information. Ruined the lecture. -
@arsatiki@avibryant strong priors tend to make new information pretty worthless
End of conversation
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