Andrzej Leszkiewicz

@avatorl

investigator. I'm biased, but I like math, graphs and truth. I also write about whatever is interesting for me right now (e.g. ).

Poland
avatorl.org/en/
Vrijeme pridruživanja: srpanj 2009.
224 fotografije ili videozapisa Fotografije i videozapisi

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 6 sati

    This appears to be the first foreign case with no clear link to China. The woman returned from Thailand to South Korea on Jan. 19 and started feeling chills on Jan. 25. Thailand has 19 confirmed cases.

    South Korea reports 1 new case of coronavirus in woman who came back from Thailand on January 19
    20 replies 268 proslijeđenih tweetova 327 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 22 sata

    The can survive for five days maximum on smooth surfaces under suitable circumstances: experts from China's Health Commission

    967 proslijeđenih tweetova 1.121 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 9 sati

    Hong Kong media are reporting that a 39-year-old man with coronavirus and an underlying illness has died. Not yet confirmed by officials.

    9 replies 107 proslijeđenih tweetova 230 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 15 sati

    I see more and more videos of people refusing to be quarantined due to . They’re definitely terrified of something, other than virus itself.

    440 replies 2.138 proslijeđenih tweetova 2.746 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  5. prije 9 sati

    2 proslijeđena tweeta
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  6. prije 10 sati

    Consensus of and media. LOL

    2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  7. prije 10 sati

    I'll collect tweets like this. The most reliable sources of : , , Is it a joke?

    2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  8. prije 11 sati

    If you think it's a good explanation than feel free to show the article to anyone who believe in 2% fatality rate of If you don't agree with the article, then proof that I'm wrong using math and reliable scientific sources.

    3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  9. prije 11 sati

    I think it's just a draft of the artical, but I've tried to explain the situation with 'case fatality ratio' = deaths/cases:

    3 proslijeđena tweeta 5 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  10. prije 13 sati

    Too many patients in severe/critical condition. How many doctors, medical personnel, medical equipment will be required to support their life if this number will be growing as fast, as it's growing now?

    1 reply 2 proslijeđena tweeta 6 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 13 sati

    The number of people in serious and critical condition in Hubei province has risen significantly, now at 2,143. That's up from 1,562 yesterday.

    BREAKING: Epicenter of coronavirus outbreak reports 2,345 new cases and 64 new deaths
    27 replies 332 proslijeđena tweeta 447 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  12. prije 15 sati

    If anyone missed. My interactive report is here: There are a lot of charts, including this:

    1 reply 8 proslijeđenih tweetova 24 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    1. velj

    病患亲眼目睹，人又死了一个。。。

    8 replies 75 proslijeđenih tweetova 105 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  14. prije 18 sati

    Biased CFR calculated as deaths/cases was is between 3.9% and 9.3% on this timeline. Calculated deaths based on 11% fatality rate and 7 days lag between case confirmation and death almost perfectly match real data.

    1 reply 1 korisnik označava da mu se sviđa
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  15. prije 18 sati

    I've added this 'Simulation / SARS' sheet to the interactive report. It will become available online during next 10-20 minutes (probably an hour).

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 3 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  16. prije 18 sati

    Blue line - SARS 2003 reported # of deaths Pink line - calculated # of deaths = # of cases 7 days ago * 11%

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 7 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  17. prije 20 sati

    "Of the 15 confirmed cases [in Hong Kong], 10 of [the patients] didn’t even need to be put on oxygen,” - didn’t even need? 5 of 15 confirmed cases required oxygen.

    1 reply 1 proslijeđeni tweet 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    United Nations: Call for the resignation of Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, WHO Director General - Sign the Petition! via

    1 proslijeđeni tweet 8 korisnika označava da im se sviđa
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  19. 2. velj

    stupit = stupid. cant's just say 'biased'. it's really stupid if the result is 2.3% but all people are gonna die.

    2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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  20. 2. velj

    Scary scenario: All cases (99%) eventually will die. Stupit case fatality ratio =2.3% on day 35 and 99% on day. !!! To do not scary people: it's not a model of It's simplified model of an epidemic in general !!!

    1 reply 2 korisnika označavaju da im se sviđa
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