Another layer: people think the problem is "taking the easy path." That's not the problem! The problem is not *fully defining any desires* that don't already have a well-trodden path to their satisfying condition, never allowing them enough weight to fall out of the cloudshttps://twitter.com/webdevMason/status/1006181402944028673 …
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The timescale should be a function of the problem-situation. But to a fallibilist, embarking on something that will be painful for a long time and only made worthwhile later *if one is right*, seems like asking for trouble.
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That seems reasonable. What about 'I'm having fun; I could also have fun doing other things, but if it turns out that I'm right in the end then I will have had fun AND improved the world as much as I think I can.'?
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Some projects last a lifetime. Some last several. If that's inherent in your problem-situation, there's no danger in contributing to such a project, so long as it isn't based on a prophecy that demands some unpleasant payment in advance.
End of conversation
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