Skip to content
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • Moments Moments Moments, current page.

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
asymmetricinfo's profile
Megan McArdle
Megan McArdle
Megan McArdle
Verified account
@asymmetricinfo

Tweets

Megan McArdleVerified account

@asymmetricinfo

Columnist at the Washington Post. Opinions my own. Email me: Megan.McArdle -at- http://washpost.com  Buy my book, The Up Side of Down http://amzn.to/1a3i2tK 

Washington, DC
Joined September 2008

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

      Mini-tweetstorm before I have to run to the airport to catch my plane to Vegas. Subject: last night's unbelievable five-car pileup in the moderate lane.https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/12/theories-that-collapsed-new-hampshire/ …

      8 replies 23 retweets 64 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

      It's clear that Buttigieg and Bloomberg are the only moderates with the guts to take on Bernie Sanders directly. Everyone else is going to sit back and pray for a brokered convention. This is, to put it politely, a very high risk strategy.

      5 replies 8 retweets 74 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

      For one thing, what does it profit a party to gain a moderate nominee if they lose the general election because the radical's voters stayed home?

      2 replies 3 retweets 35 likes
      Show this thread
      Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

      Astute followers will already have noticed that this was exactly the problem the GOP faced in 2016. They could have justified forcing a brokered convention and replacing Trump; it was wihtin the rules. But they would have split the party, and lost the general

      7:52 AM - 20 Feb 2020
      • 4 Retweets
      • 49 Likes
      • Brighid Kelly Sharer of scary COVID news and cat videos Alex Furlong Ralph Waldo Porcupine Dalben JW "Good news is good, bad news is bad" Oliver George Purcell Adam Deermount Ellen Anderson
      4 replies 4 retweets 49 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          So they decided the better path was to keep him, assume he'd lose, and rebuild the party after his followers learned their lesson. Which, umm, yeah.

          4 replies 6 retweets 52 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Only now the problem is bigger, because now the price of losing isn't some opposition standard-bearer you'll hate but live with; it's four more years of Trump. And the price of winning is seeing your party reborn in Bernie's image. Either way, forcing him out looks a bad option.

          2 replies 4 retweets 34 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Shorter: I don't think there's much chance that party elites are going to overrule voters if Bernie has a decent plurality, which is what he currently looks headed for.

          3 replies 6 retweets 28 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          To which a follower responds "sounds like the democratic party should get behind sanders and win the general then" which, yes, but there's a hitch: Bernie's M4A will run into a lot of resistance from unions and senior citizens. Just try winning PA, MI, WI or OH without 'em

          5 replies 4 retweets 42 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          He's also apt to scare suburban moderates who don't want to pay higher taxes in order to lose their employer-sponsored health insurance. Those folks were the Democratic victory margin in 2018's midterm sweep.

          5 replies 3 retweets 48 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Just not clear he makes up enough ground in the white working class to run that table. The WWC *likes* Trump. Supporters camped out for a day and a half here in Phoenix to see him last night.

          2 replies 3 retweets 29 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          The four moderates are re-enacting the Kasich strategy of 2016, throwing a Hail Mary towards a brokered convention and hoping they'll be the one with the most moderate votes, even if fewer than Bernie, if they can only outwait them.

          2 replies 3 retweets 20 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          (them being the other moderates)

          1 reply 0 retweets 9 likes
          Show this thread
        10. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Problem: Warren has now realized that she will never. ever. pick up enough Bernie voters, and is now desperately scrambling to get into the moderate lane. The more people do this, the more the non-Bernie vote fragments, and the harder it will be to force a moderate on the ticket.

          5 replies 8 retweets 38 likes
          Show this thread
        11. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Bigger problem: With California now on the Super Tuesday ballot, waiting doesn't get you as much as it once did; you have fewer opportunities to pick up a lot of delegates late.

          1 reply 2 retweets 19 likes
          Show this thread
        12. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Biggest problem: one of the five is a billionaire who cannot be forced from the race until he's good and ready to leave. Candidates don't fold because they've rationally assessed their chances; they fold because they run out of money.

          2 replies 5 retweets 38 likes
          Show this thread
        13. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Which leads me to ask: what the heck did all the non-Bernie candidates think they'd gain by climbing all over Bloomberg? Were they trying to scare off his donor?

          8 replies 13 retweets 48 likes
          Show this thread
        14. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Even if the candidates who were whaling on Bloomberg had managed to slightly improve their own profiles (which none of them did, except Warren), the boost would be marginal, and the cost would be big.

          3 replies 1 retweet 16 likes
          Show this thread
        15. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Every minute the Democrats spent ganging up on Bloomberg was a minute they didn't use to knock out someone who might help them by actually leaving the race when their donor base lost interest.

          3 replies 4 retweets 22 likes
          Show this thread
        16. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          Again, this might seem individually rational if you think they're jockeying for position at a brokered convention. But it's collective madness, especially when you consider the low odds that anyone but Bernie walks out of a brokered convention with the nomination.

          1 reply 2 retweets 24 likes
          Show this thread
        17. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          This collective action problem in the moderate lane looks more and more likely to hand Sanders the nomination unless some bright Democratic game theorist finds a solution, fast.

          9 replies 10 retweets 41 likes
          Show this thread
        18. Megan McArdle‏Verified account @asymmetricinfo 20 Feb 2020

          And that's all she wrote, for now. As always, there's a bunch of stuff in the column I didn't touch on here, so please read it:https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2020/02/20/hey-democrats-youre-attacking-wrong-candidate/ …

          8 replies 4 retweets 26 likes
          Show this thread
        19. End of conversation

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info