Putin quashed the 2011-13 protests by dropping the hammer on key activists. But demographics mean he's got to quell a new gen every few yrs
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Replying to @asteris
If anything, Navalny's predictable, which is why he's a protest fixture. Often arrested/thwarted but not harmed. Maybe Putin even likes him.
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Replying to @asteris
Putin prolly wouldn't mind throwing Medvedev under the bus at some point. He can't coopt Navalny, but I don't think he fears him, either.
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Replying to @asteris
Besides the main anti-corruption figurehead activist in Russia, Navalny's also a nationalist. That likely serves to cushion him on some lvl.
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Replying to @asteris
Putin would prolly love to pull a Mugabe, but knows he won't be around forever. It'd be like him to groom a solid adversary for succession.
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Replying to @asteris
That all's just my layman gut feeling from watching Russian politics since Brezhnev. I'm certainly no Kremlinologist, grain of salt & all.
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It's pretty scary/ugly at times (esp. online), endlessly convoluted & largely inscrutable from afar, but always fascinating in pivotal times
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