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An extraordinary message from
@LeePelton President of@EmersonCollege. We've all seen messages from business, university and political leaders decrying racism. This is different. Read it. https://today.emerson.edu/2020/06/01/letter-to-the-emerson-community-may-31-2020/ … h/t@DrewFaust28Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ugh Writing tweets at midnight is risky business. I missed Wyoming (would come right after Iowa, before Wisconsin)
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Which 10 states have highest number of new cases per capita? N/S Dakota Iowa Wisconsin Nebraska Illinois Minnesota Kansas Montana All in one region When a few states act irresponsibly, whole region goes up in flames This is why strategy of every state on its own doesn't work
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We've known about asymptomatic transmission since March Administration's refusal to make widespread testing available means we can't use this tool to control virus And now, with runaway spread, we're left with far less appetizing approaches to control it It was all preventable
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New
@nejm paper on SARS-CoV2 transmission among Marines. Key finding? 90% had no symptoms Very high Means we'll never identify infections or break chains of transmission unless we are testing asymptomatic people And here's the problem: Thread 1 of 2https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2029717 …Show this threadThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
I wonder if we will disparage the arrival of more vaccines as me-too / incremental medicines ? Asking 4 friend.
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Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
A brilliant choice for sure
@ashishkjha Best of luck@RonaldKlain Our nation needs you#Biden2020#bidenwhitehousehttps://twitter.com/ashishkjha/status/1326701553118539776 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
While Americans often debate the proper role of government, there's one area where all agree We want our government to be effective I've never met anyone more committed to or more capable of making government work for the American people than
@RonaldKlain A brilliant choicehttps://twitter.com/joebiden/status/1326696150364286976 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
Join Dean
@ashishkjha TODAY at 1pm for a discussion with international health leaders on the impact of#Election2020
on international relations and the landscape of #globalhealth.@WatsonInstitute@ed_steinfeld@globalgamechngr@JNkengasong@WorldBankIndia https://www.brown.edu/academics/public-health/events/election2020 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
Today we set new record highs for
#COVID19 cases AND hospitalizations. On the same day. Also had the highest death toll in months. I wrote an explainer for why these daily trends should temper any optimism. The next few months will be hard and painful.
https://twitter.com/craig_a_spencer/status/1325992213030064129?s=21 …https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1326321342933831680 …
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Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
Check out the amazing logo
@alaurenoconnell made for my project in the lab
pic.twitter.com/OzOlzEDE1I
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Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
Congratulations to Carlos del Rio, MD (
@CarlosdelRio7), recipient of the Distinguished Public Relations Award!#PRSAPhoenixAwardspic.twitter.com/NKZ5iOdvnr
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In 2008, during financial crisis, Bush & Obama teams worked closely to ensure we didn't waste the time between election, inauguration That should be model for transition now My (likely naïve) piece on how to handle this transition during a health crisishttps://www.nbcnews.com/think/opinion/biden-s-covid-19-team-trump-s-administration-must-choose-ncna1247188 …
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Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
Great video about aerosol transmission and superspreading, role of ventilation in reducing the risk of long-range aerosol transmission (beyond about 6')!https://twitter.com/ShellyMBoulder/status/1326159916315209729 …
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Ashish K. Jha Retweeted
“In my mind between now and inauguration day...we're likely to see an additional 100,000 Americans dying.” Dr.
@ashishkjha says many more deaths could happen unless “bold action” is taken in the next couple of months to stop the spread of COVID-19. https://gma.abc/2InaSbt pic.twitter.com/A1Na48cshcThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo -
What do we do? Tell you Congressperson to get money to states for more testing Tell you governor to advocate masks, expand testing, limit indoor gatherings And please be careful with get togethers We will have safe, effective vaccines in 2021 Keep people safe until then Fin
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Why? Continued improvements in treatment will help -- but will only make a modest difference So we could hit the worst day of the pandemic when we lost nearly 2500 Americans And with 71 days to inauguration, we could easily average 1500 deaths daily between now and then 5/6
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If we are conservative and assume infections 3X that of Oct 7 And if Oct 7 infections give us 1,000 deaths today Simple math says that we are likely to have 3,000 deaths a day in 4 to 5 weeks (mid-December) Will that happen? I suspect we might do a bit better 4/6
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So number of identified infections 2.5X And % positive doubled.....meaning we are missing MANY more cases today than on Oct 7 We're missing so many cases today b/c of our wholly inadequate testing So I suspect true number of infections at least 3-5X what it was on Oct 7 3/4
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The 1,000 deaths represents infections that happened 4-5 weeks ago So how many infections happened 4-5 weeks ago? On October 7, we had about 45,000 cases with 5% positivity rate Yesterday, we had 110,000 cases with 10% positive rate These are 7-d moving averages 2/6
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Biden team won't have formal power to manage COVID until January 20 71 days Between now and then, we may see additional 100,00 deaths from COVID Its a horribly high number Why do I say that? Heres the math Right now, 1000 people dying every day That number will rise Thread
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