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Michigan vs. Ohio State Football today postponed due to COVID But a comparison of MI vs OH on COVID is useful Why? While vaccines are coming, we have 6-8 hard weeks ahead And the big question is -- can we do anything to save lives? Lets look at MI, OH for insights Thread
On 11/15, Michigan announced series of restrictions Ohio didn’t We can compare the two to see if Michigan policies helped Why is Ohio a good comparison? OH a neighbor of similar size, make-up (urban/rural, etc) Here's COVID cases through 11/15 (OH in red, MI in blue)pic.twitter.com/uV6XLWYpx2
The two states have tracked very closely
Similar states
Similar policies
But then, things changed mid-November
So let’s talk data (@COVID19Tracking 7-day moving avgs)
3/9
On 11/15, Michigan had 67 new cases / 100K population and 31 people in the hospital per 100K pop Ohio had, per 100K pop 58 new cases, 25 people in the hospital And as the graph shows, they were both increasing rapidly Here's that graph again through November 15pic.twitter.com/w3bxJOHZ61
Michigan put in restrictions on 11/15 Ohio did not What happend? Michigan 11/15 versus 12/10 Daily cases: 67 --> 57 new cases per 100K Hospitalizations: 31 --> 40 per 100K Ohio 11/15 versus 12/10 Daily cases 58 -->104 new cases per 100K Hospitalizations: 25 --> 44 per 100K
So MI: cases are down 15%, hospitalizations up 29% OH: cases are up 79%, hospitalizations up 76% And you know that deaths will follow in the following couple of weeks In fact, let's look at the picture, which tells the story perfectly OH vs MI through December 11pic.twitter.com/sY2svMT0PP
For much of the pandemic, the two states have looked very similar Partly because both governors did a good job managing things When things got bad this fall, MI responded, OH didn’t If we need more evidence that policy matters, this graph should do it 5/6
Two states, similar background, neighbors Only big difference is in mid-November, a policy intervention And effects are sizeable. And visible. Obviously, its just a two state comparison But compelling And should remind us we know how to save lives until vaccines arrive Fin
Great info and very interesting as I grew up in Michigan and my hubby in Ohio. We live now in NC but both extended families are still there. Needless to say, no holiday travel for us.
@threadreaderapp unroll please.
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